Fact or Fiction?

Whose recent play was pure luck or a sign of better things to come?

1) Braylon Edwards: Fiction
After an impressive 107 yard, 1 TD game against Green Bay, is Edwards the real deal? I say no--most of those 107 yards came on a poorly defensed slant, which Braylon broke for an 80 yard TD. Take that one catch away and Braylon's season stats are pretty paltry. I like Braylon probably in two years to be a fantasy stud, but not as a rookie. And if you're tempted to pick him up now, just look at the tough pass defenses the Browns play next few weeks--Indy, Chicago, Baltimore, and Detroit.

2) Carson Palmer: Fact
Palmer has started hot and I think he'll have the break-out season a lot of pundits predicted before the season (including myself). I can see Palmer, if he stays healthy, going for 4000 yards this year. He's probably going to throw some picks (he still forces a lot of balls)--but look for a lot of TD's too. In another year, he could be in Peyton Manning's class.

3) Willie Parker: Fiction (as a top-tier RB)
Parker has a great blend of size and speed (uncanny speed, really). But I think with both Bettis and Staley ready to recover, a lot of his goal line carries will be taken. He'll have a solid yardage season, but I can't see him scoring a TD a game once the other backs return. Plus, with three solid backs, the Steelers have to be thinking committee--it only makes sense. Parker might be good in a keeper league--but I wouldn't bank on Parker scoring more than 5-6 TD's this year.