Nolton League: Week 8 Picks of the Week...
Lots of close games last week...so you'll have to excuse the pickmaster for his mere 3-2 pick record. This week, I'm certain, I'll bat .1000:
Game of the Week: Fentons 83 Heroes 60
In a humbling upset, look for Fenton to hand it to the Heroes this week. The Heroes are coming off an emotional win against co-blogger, Anti-Ryan, and are likely due for a letdown. And Fenton has enough talent to take advantage.
I think the Heroes are getting too carried away playing the matchups this week and it could burn them. For instance, I’m not a fan of Delhomme against a Minnesota team coming off a huge season-changing win. I also think the Lions defense is a bad play (I say this from personal experience). And you just can’t bank on Az Hakim, after his one and only big game in the last five years. I do, however, think Ronnie Brown should be good for 80 and a TD against the Saints. The Boldin trade was a smart move and should pay immediate dividends with 90 yards and a TD. Also, the Eagles’ offense needs a big game—and they’ll rely heavily on Brian Westbrook, leading to a score and nearly 200 total yards.
For Fenton, he’s looking for a spark to an otherwise disappointing season; a win over the Heroes could be that spark. I like both his running backs—McGahee and Parker—to break the crack the century mark against beat-up defenses. Favre should be in a shoot-out in Cinci, with no running game—meaning lots of yards and 2-3 TD’s. And Mike Williams is the only healthy offensive threat in Detroit, making him the best Lions candidate to get into the endzone. But I think the big difference here will be Tampa’s defense, off a bye, facing Ken Dorsey and the Niners. The question won’t be will the Bucs defense score—rather, it’ll be how many times will they score? Look for them to crack 20 fantasy points and carry Fenton to a win and back into playoff contention.
Least of the Week: Jumbo Jets 65 Terry’s Titans 55
The similarities between these teams are uncanny. Both teams have only one win this season. Both teams feature starting QB’s named Drew. Both teams have alliterative team names (TT v. JJ). And both teams suffer from a lack of imagination re. those team names, using actual NFL team names for their fantasy monikers. I think, after that, however, the similarities end. The Titans have a dearth of talent; the Jets have been unlucky. I’ll pick talent over luck any day.
Last week, the pickmaster picked all of the Jumbo Jets WR’s to score TD’s—and they all did. Look for an encore performance; what was considered a weakness of the Jumbo Jets coming into the season, the WR core, has turned into a strength. Santana Moss, Ward and McCardell have all been consistent #1 WR’s—and with the matchups this week, they should all score.
The Titans? Well, I expect Ricky Williams to get maybe 20 yards. And Rudi Johnson, though steady with carries, has only 2 TD’s this season…and won’t add to that measly total this week. Travis Taylor and Derrick Mason should be used only out of desperation (unfortunately, a pretty good indicator that the Titans are already looking to next year).
Feast of the Week: Anti-Ryan 93 Stewie Griffin 91
I think this will be the shoot-out of the week. Look for both defenses (Chicago and Jax) and both QB’s (Palmer and Leftwich) to be good for 20 fantasy points each. For Stewie, if Portis is truly back, then his backfield of Clinton and LT could put up 4 TD’s this week. And though I think Dante Hall is normally a weak play, San Diego/KC should see plenty of scoring and thus lots of return yards for Mr. Hall.
On the flip side, A-R’s heralded WR crew will be key this week—Moss seems to be healthy and should abuse Ms. Pac-Man and the Tennessee secondary (150 yards, 2 TD’s). Green Bay has been susceptible to the pass, meaning CJ should have a great bounce-back game (100 yards, 1 TD). I even like Plex to get a sneaky TD against a stout Washington defense (40 yards, 1 TD). But I think this win will come down to A-R’s make-shift backfield. Marion Barber will eat up the Cards for the tune of 2 scores and the Cadillac is back…against a Niners defense that allowed 4 rushing TD’s a week ago. A late Caddy TD will be the difference in this nail-biter.
Quick Picks:
Tony Clifton 73 “Numbers” (formerly known as Joey Joe Joe) 61
I think Brunell (200 yards, 1 TD, 2 ints) comes back down the earth for the numbers and Trent Green (330, 1 TD) finally shows up for Clifton. But the fantasy player of the week this week could be Clifton’s Priest Holmes—I like him to see endzone 3 times, keying a Clifton victory
Juggernutz 42 C-Bass 39
Neither team has exceptionally favorable mathcups. C-Bass’s Eli Manning is a must-bench play this week against the Skins. And, while normally any defense playing against Houston should be a fine play, I don’t see Cleveland’s defense scoring much at Houston, in what promises to be the end of Houston’s losing streak and the beginning of the Charlie Frye era in Cleveland. Look for two big scorers from Juggernutz—Corey Dillon (150 yards, 2 TD’s) and the Pittsburgh Defense (6 points, 3 ints, 1 TD)—to be the difference this week.